Carlyle Valuation

CGABL Stock  USD 17.71  0.03  0.17%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. Carlyle Group shows a prevailing Real Value of $17.62 per share. The current price of the firm is $17.71. Our model approximates the value of Carlyle Group from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.69, ebitda of 2.12 B, and Revenue of 5.43 B as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Fairly Valued
Today
17.71
Please note that Carlyle's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Carlyle Group is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Carlyle's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Carlyle stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of The Carlyle Group. Since Carlyle is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Carlyle Stock. However, Carlyle's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  17.71 Real  17.62 Hype  18.14 Naive  17.91
The intrinsic value of Carlyle's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Carlyle's stock price.
17.62
Real Value
18.12
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of The Carlyle Group helps investors to forecast how Carlyle stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Carlyle more accurately as focusing exclusively on Carlyle's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.3517.6220.89
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.6418.1418.64
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.480.480.49
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Carlyle's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Carlyle's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Carlyle's closest peers.

Carlyle Cash

1.03 Billion

Carlyle Revenue by Product

About Carlyle Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of The Carlyle Group. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Carlyle Group based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Carlyle's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Carlyle's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Carlyle. We calculate exposure to Carlyle's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Carlyle's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit3.1 B1.8 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.24  0.25 
Operating Profit Margin 0.26  0.28 
Net Profit Margin 0.17  0.17 
Gross Profit Margin 0.66  0.90 
Carlyle's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Carlyle's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Carlyle can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Carlyle represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Carlyle, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Carlyle Dividends Analysis For Valuation

The value of Dividends Paid is estimated to slide to about 294.6 M. The value of Dividend Yield is estimated to slide to 0.02. At this time, Carlyle's Retained Earnings are quite stable compared to the past year. Earnings Yield is expected to rise to 0.07 this year, although the value of Retained Earnings Total Equity will most likely fall to about 3.4 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid578.5 M294.6 M
Dividend Yield 0.02  0.02 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.62  0.59 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio(1.50)(1.43)
There are various types of dividends Carlyle can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Carlyle shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from The Carlyle Group directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Carlyle pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Carlyle by the value of the dividends paid out.

Carlyle Current Valuation Indicators

Carlyle's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Carlyle's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Carlyle, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Carlyle's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Carlyle's worth.
When determining whether Carlyle Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Carlyle's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Carlyle's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Carlyle Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in The Carlyle Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Investment Banking & Brokerage space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Carlyle. Projected growth potential of Carlyle fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Carlyle assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Return On Equity
0.6868
Carlyle Group's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Carlyle's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Carlyle's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Carlyle's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Carlyle's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Carlyle should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Carlyle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.